Can support at $2.80 hold?

As of now, XRP is trading around $2.82–$2.90, having fallen below the psychological $3.00 mark.

That drop changes the dynamics around the previous resistance at $3.10. What was once a key barrier now looks like it has more staying power. If XRP can’t reclaim $3.00 soon, the risk of lower support tests increases.

New catalysts like the XRP ETF launch and regulatory progress remain relevant, but the recent price action shows bulls are under pressure. Traders now watch if the token can stabilize above ~$2.80 to prevent a steeper drop.

XRP price prediction: current status

In recent sessions, XRP has traded within a narrower range of $2.80–$3.00, after repeated failures to sustain above $3.00. The slip below this mark has turned sentiment more cautious, as volume remains muted. This lack of conviction suggests traders are waiting for a decisive move, either a rebound reclaiming $3.00 or a test of lower supports.

Institutional factors continue to provide a supportive backdrop. The first U.S. spot XRP ETF (REX-Osprey XRPR) has recorded strong inflows of around $37.7 million since launch. The Ripple (XRP) network has expanded with new partnerships including collaborations with DBS Bank, Franklin Templeton, and initiatives on the XRP Ledger. All of these partnerships reinforce long-term optimism, even if short-term technicals remain uncertain.

Upside outlook for XRP price

If XRP can hold above ~$2.80 and rally back above $3.00, then breaking $3.10 becomes a live possibility again. A successful breakout could lead to gains toward $3.30–$3.40, and in a strong momentum scenario possibly above $3.50. The ETF flows and institutional interest (especially from the newly launched XRPR ETF) remain tailwinds.

Some analysts expect substantially larger numbers, especially if macroeconomic conditions (interest rates, regulatory environment) stay favorable. 

But momentum needs to pick up — volume needs to increase, and any fresh regulatory or macro news could make the difference.

Negative outlook for XRP price

If support at ~$2.80 breaks, look for potential drops to $2.70–$2.60, and if broader market weakness intensifies, perhaps even toward $2.50 or lower

Profit-taking after the ETF launch is clearly weighing on price. Since a lot of expectations were built in going into the launch, some of the initial gains are being washed out. Macro and regulatory risk remain ever-present, and a negative move in Bitcoin, tighter monetary policy, or skepticism from regulators could exacerbate downward pressure.

XRP price prediction based on current levels

Given where XRP is now trading, its next few moves will most likely be significantly influenced by how it acts around $3.10. If it can convincingly break and close above that level, the bullish narrative predicts a climb to $3.30-$3.60.

Such a road would most likely necessitate persistent volume growth, institutional flows (particularly through ETF/spot products), and favorable regulatory or partnership developments. This aligns with analyst projections that XRP could outperform other majors if conditions remain supportive.

If XRP fails to clear $3.10, it may remain in consolidation between $2.80 and $3.10, with the possibility of drifting downward. A break below $2.85 might push it to $2.60-$2.50, especially if market weakness persists.

Overall, the expectation is for heightened volatility, with the breakout direction at $3.10 shaping the narrative for weeks to come.